Washington, DC — On a webinar held Friday, researchers presented the key
findings and implications of the 2020 American Election Eve Poll, a survey of
15,000-plus voters that provides the most accurate information about the 2020
vote choices and motivations of African American, Asian American/Pacific
Islander, Latino/Latinx, and American Indian voters.
Detailed national and state-specific results
are available on the interactive website: https://electioneve2020.com/.
The researchers hail from Latino Decisions, the African American
Research Collaborative, Asian American Decisions, and the National Congress of
American Indians:
Gary Segura of Latino Decisions: “While there is incredible consensus on
national priorities, with COVID-19 dominating among all voters, there also is
clear racial polarization in the electorate. The white vote has simply not
moved since four years ago and white women are simply not a Dem constituency
group, no matter how many column inches are exhausted on this notion. And
gender, geography, and national origin complicate our understanding of minority
voters - it’s important to remember to not be too focused on any particular
single location. Miami, as important as it is, is 3.1 percent of the national
Latino vote and Arizona is 3.8 percent, so we need to avoid any drift toward a
myopic focus.”
Henry Fernandez of the African American
Research Collaborative: “People of color turned out overwhelmingly for Joe Biden and Kamala
Harris and white people turned out in a big way for Donald Trump. If Joe Biden wins, it means that a coalition
led by people of color is now the dominant political reality in the U.S. Most
decisions Trump made as President and in his campaign were about stopping this
transition to a country that is no longer dominated politically by white
voters. It’s why he had kids in cages and the Muslim ban. It’s why he protects
Confederate monuments and calls Coronavirus the China Flu. He’s trying to turn
back this sea change in American politics -- a progressive sea change that has
led to better health coverage, a focus on police reform, and a House of
Representatives that has fought Trump for the last two years.”
Taeku Lee of Asian American Decisions: “2020 continues the pattern that has been
building over the last several elections of Asian Americans as a solid, steady
partner in the rising, progressive Democratic coalition of voters of color in
America. They are staunch Democrats, overwhelmingly liberal on the issues, and
see four more years of a Trump Administration and the rising tide of white
nationalism as a hostile threat to Asian Americans and to communities of
color.”
Yvette Roubideaux, Vice President of Research
at the National Congress of American Indians: “American Indian voters were found to favor
the candidate Vice President Biden almost two times more than President Trump,
and compared to other groups, a higher percentage of American Indians voted to
support and represent their community beyond their candidate preferences. This
is consistent with the strong community orientation of our tribal nations. The
results also confirm the disproportionate impact of COVID-19 on American
Indians and the need for further stimulus funding.”
Select national findings from the 2020 American Election Eve Poll:
Presidential vote choice (national)
● African Americans voted for Joe Biden over Donald Trump 89%-9%
● Asian Americans and Pacific Islanders voted for Joe Biden over Donald Trump 68%-28%
● Latinos voted
for Joe Biden over Donald Trump 70%-27%
● American Indians voted for Joe Biden over Donald Trump 60%-35%
● Whites voted
for Donald Trump over Joe Biden 56%-41%
Most important issues facing your community
that our politicians should address (national)
● African Americans: Coronavirus pandemic - 55%; Discrimination/racial justice - 37%; Jobs
and economy - 34%
● Asian Americans and Pacific Islanders: Coronavirus pandemic - 58%; Jobs and economy
- 44%; Health care costs - 37%
● Latinos:
Coronavirus pandemic - 55%; Jobs and economy - 41%; Health care costs - 32%
● American Indians: Coronavirus pandemic - 45%; Jobs and economy - 37%; Health care costs
- 27%
● Whites: Coronavirus
pandemic - 48%; Jobs and economy - 40%; Health care costs - 28%
Additional Key Information About the American Election Eve Poll
● The 2020 American Election Eve Poll includes over 15,000 voters nationally with
oversamples of Latino/Latinx, African American, American Indian, Asian/Pacific
Islander American, and rural voters, along with other voters; as well as state-specific samples for Arizona,
California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Ohio, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada,
Pennsylvania, Texas and Wisconsin.
● The interactive
website https://electioneve2020.com/ will present the full array of poll data.
● Additional AEEP rollout events on Thursday November 5 will provide
detail and electoral context on the poll finding and takeaways for each voting
community. Contact
press@americasvoice.org for more information.
○ 11:00 AM ET: African American deep dive event
○ 12:30 PM ET: Asian American Pacific Islander
deep dive event
○ 2:00 PM ET: Latino deep dive event
Pollsters and Sponsors
The lead pollsters for the 2020 American Election Eve Poll include Latino Decisions, Asian American Decisions and the African American Research
Collaborative.
Sponsoring organizations include: AAPI Civic Engagement Fund, NAACP, America's Voice, UnidosUS, Advancement Project, Asian & Pacific Islander
American Health Forum, Community Change, Demos, Faith In Action, Florida Alliance, Indivisible, League of Conservation
Voters, Momento Latino, National Congress of
American Indians, National Domestic Workers
Alliance, National Urban League, Race Forward, RuralOrganizing.org, SEIU, Vera Institute of Justice, Voter Participation Center.