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<html> <head> <title>从以色列到日本 (1)</title> <meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=big5"> </head> <!-- <SCRIPT language="JavaScript"> document.title = "从以色列到日本 (1)"; </script> --> <style type="text/css"> <!-- A:link {COLOR: #336699; TEXT-DECORATION: none} A:visited {COLOR: #666699; TEXT-DECORATION: none} A:hover {COLOR: #993399; font-weight: normal; TEXT-DECORATION: none} A:active {COLOR: #996666; font-weight: normal} a.submenu:active { text-decoration:none; font-family: "新細明體"; font-size: 14pt} a.submenu:hover { color: #477DA7; text-decoration:none} a.submenu:link { color: #477DA7; text-decoration:none} a.submenu:visited { color: #477DA7; text-decoration:none} a.link:active { color: #666666; text-decoration:none} a.link:hover { color: #666666; text-decoration:none} a.link:link { color: #666666; text-decoration:none} a.link:visited { color: #666666; text-decoration:none} td { font-family: "Verdana", "Arial", "Helvetica", "sans-serif"; font-size: 11px} .attention { font-family: "Verdana", "Arial", "Helvetica", "sans-serif"; 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line-height:0;height:0;width:1} div.item_Left {float:left;border:0px solid; padding:5px;width:auto} div.item_Left img {float:left;margin:5px} div.item_Right {float:right;border:0px solid; padding:5px;width:auto} div.item_Right img {float:right;margin:5px} div.item_Center {float:center;border:0px solid; padding:5px;width:100%} div.item_Center img {float:center;margin:5px} .Caption { font-family: "Verdana", "Arial", "Helvetica", "sans-serif"; COLOR:444444; font-size: 12px; } --> </style> <body bgcolor="#FFFFFF" background="images/bg.gif"> <table width="602" border="0" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" bgcolor="#5B7ACC"> <tr> <td valign="top"> <table width="600" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="2" bgcolor="#F4FAFF"> <tr background="http://www.w4j.org/MessageCenter/News/images/bg-news-bar.gif" valign="top"> <td background="http://www.w4j.org/MessageCenter/News/images/bg-news-bar.gif" colspan="2"> <font color="#003366"><img src="http://www.w4j.org/MessageCenter/News/images/bullet-arrow-red.gif" width="7" height="7" hspace="4"><font color="#990000" size=3><b>从以色列到日本 (1)</b> </font></font> </td> </tr> <tr> <td width="10" valign="top"><img src="http://www.w4j.org/MessageCenter/News/images/spacer.gif" width="12" height="12"></td> <td width="590" valign="top"> <div align="center">丁果</div> <!-- <font color="#666666">作者<br> --> <div align="center">7/31/2006</div> <br> <img src="http://www.w4j.org/MessageCenter/News/images/spacer.gif" width="17" height="5"><br> </font> <table width="570" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tr> <td><font color="#666666"> <div class="floatclear" style="padding-bottom: 10px"> <font class='textCSS'>以色列黎巴嫩冲突加深,美国虽然表态支持以色列,但却不插手战事,这当然是因为美国被伊拉克拖住手脚,无力过多参与区域冲突,但也从另外角度说明,美国觉得还是打代理人战争最为合算便宜。<br><br>同样道理,北韩拒绝执行联合国决议案,美国也不会出兵挑起战端,相反,日本内阁官房长官安倍晋三则放言,将会发动先发制人的攻击,摧毁北韩飞弹基地。由此可见,日本已经开始积极要求扮演“东亚以色列“的角色,代美国来打棘手的区域局部战争,在这过程中,使日本完成核子化的军事大国美梦。这就对北京的亚洲尤其是东亚战略带来了前所未有的严峻挑战。 <br><br>北京总是将美日视为一体,还有台湾问题的纠葛,中国总是不由自主把自己放在与美国对峙的地位上,而中国人对汉唐盛世再现的历史憧憬,以及海内外那种不满美国而希望中国与之抗衡的心态,也促使中国在表面上持续对美国“韬光养晦”的邓小平政策,但从实际操作上却是与美国针锋相对,而日本成了第二位的对手。<br> <br>但是,这种与美国抗衡的思路,正在扼杀中国成为亚洲区域大国的最佳时机。此时的中国,应该首先完成亚洲第一大国的战略目标,把日本挤出竞争的行列,而这需要美国的认同与合作。在完成成为区域大国的目标之后,就自然可以与美国“争领风骚”了。<br><br>根据哈佛大学亨廷顿教授的理论,美国维持世界第一超强的战略架构,是与区域第一或者第二强国合作,形成区域的安全体系,来遏制对美国全球战略地位的挑战。<br><br>在欧洲,因为欧盟的成立以及俄罗斯力量的消退,北约东扩已成现实,对俄罗斯的软性包围已经形成,欧洲的地区性危机可以随时被克服,美国的战略利益不可能遭受根本性的挑战。<br><br></font> </div> </font> <BR> <a href='DispOneMessage.asp?txtOrgCode=CCEF&Category=09-03&Page=&ID=CCEF38928885924396S2'><img src='http://www.w4j.org/MessageCenter/News/images/button-n_page.gif' border=0></a> </td> </tr> </table> <font color="#666666"><img src="http://www.w4j.org/MessageCenter/News/images/spacer.gif" width="17" height="5"> </font></td> </tr> </table> </td> </tr> </table> <img src="http://www.w4j.org/MessageCenter/News/images/spacer.gif" width="13" height="13"> <table width="602" border="0" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" bgcolor="#5B7ACC"> <tr> <td valign="top"> <table width="600" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="2" bgcolor="#F4FAFF"> <tr bgcolor="#D1E7F5"> <td colspan="2"><font color="#003366"><font color="#990000"><font color="#006699"><font color="#990000">相關訊息</font></font></font></font></td> </tr> <tr> <td width="12"><font color="#003366"><img src="http://www.w4j.org/MessageCenter/News/images/bullet-arrow-red.gif" width="7" height="7" hspace="4"></font></td> <td width="580"><a href='DispOneMessage.asp?txtOrgCode=CCEF&Category=09-03&ID=CCEF38928885048296'>开心笑一笑:给老板提意见</a></td> </tr> <tr> <td width="12"><font color="#003366"><img src="http://www.w4j.org/MessageCenter/News/images/bullet-arrow-red.gif" width="7" height="7" hspace="4"></font></td> <td width="580"><a href='DispOneMessage.asp?txtOrgCode=CCEF&Category=09-03&ID=CCEF38928454433064'>電子灣是如何練就這一絕招的呢?</a></td> </tr> <tr> <td width="12"><font color="#003366"><img src="http://www.w4j.org/MessageCenter/News/images/bullet-arrow-red.gif" width="7" height="7" hspace="4"></font></td> <td width="580"><a href='DispOneMessage.asp?txtOrgCode=CCEF&Category=09-03&ID=CCEF38928371444668'>身心靈醫治的四十天禱告 (24) : 賜平安的神</a></td> </tr> <tr> <td width="12"><font color="#003366"><img src="http://www.w4j.org/MessageCenter/News/images/bullet-arrow-red.gif" width="7" height="7" hspace="4"></font></td> <td width="580"><a href='DispOneMessage.asp?txtOrgCode=CCEF&Category=09-03&ID=CCEF38926984975378S1'>《2006年7月29-8月04日網上崇拜》 (1)</a></td> </tr> <tr> <td width="12"><font color="#003366"><img src="http://www.w4j.org/MessageCenter/News/images/bullet-arrow-red.gif" width="7" height="7" hspace="4"></font></td> <td width="580"><a href='DispOneMessage.asp?txtOrgCode=CCEF&Category=09-03&ID=CCEF38925812803253'>網上主日學: 哥林多前書 第一章十到十七節 (1)</a></td> </tr> </table> </td> </tr> </table> </body> </html>